The recently proposed
mortgage bailout was actually designed to protect the banks, not citizens facing foreclosure. The way I understand it, banks rarely hold mortgages themselves. Instead, they sell the right to collect the payments, keeping a commission for themselves. They have little incentive to make sure loan applicants can afford the payments, since they are just the middlemen. Hence, a large pecentage of loan applications in the last two years lied about the applicants income, stating they earned more than they did.
Mortgages are then pooled together and sold as bonds to pension funds, governments, etc. Bonds are rated, according to their security, just as insurance companies are rated. Unfortunately, the bond rating agencies have also lied to the public and rated many bonds much higher than they deserved. In recent months, some have gone from high ratings to junk status overnight, once the fraud was revealed.
Now the investors that bought these bonds thought they were a relatively safe investment. If you were investing the money for people's pensions and retirement, you wouldn't buy bonds that involved fraud, would you? No, you'd want to buy bonds that contained mortgages that people could actually afford to pay back.
What I just learned is that when fraud is discovered, the bond owners can sue the bank to make the bank buy the bond back. After all, the bank is the one that helped the loan applicant committ fraud. The article in the link describes how there has been so much fraud in the industry, that if the bond owners start demanding the banks buy back the bonds (because they are worth much less than they were told), all the banks in the country together can't afford to buy them back.
So the bailout looks like it was designed to reduce the bond owners ability to sue for fraud. It has little to do with saving people from foreclosures. If the bailout doesn't go through, I wonder if the banks will hope the Fed speeds up the money printing presses enough to try and inflate their way out of it. Either we, you and I will pay the price.